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Estimating Population Movement

Submitted by afeltrin on Thu, 01/31/2019 - 10:30

I expect that the monito del monte is nearer to its northernmost part of its range in this area at the beginning of the study period. As the study period develops and the years increase, the population in that area constantly decreases. The population is decreasing because they are moving south towards cooler temperatures as climate change is occurring. This species has a specific range of temperatures they can live in and as the Earth is constantly heating, they have to move towards cooler temperatures further away from the equator. The pattern of the graph makes sense since each year, the Earth becomes a couple of degrees warmer, so the monito del monte cannot handle temperatures out of their range and they move away from that area. If they were in the southernmost part of its range at the beginning of the study, we would see the population still decrease, but not as dramatically. In ten years of the study, from 2000 to 2010, the population decreased by half. If this were the southernmost area, we would expect the decrease to be more gradual.

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